What would you know about that
I recall I did explain to you before.
Your cards are theoretically 100% knowable in detail.
The real world is unknowable in detail.
I recall I may have been pointing out to you before (with reference to your replacement theory and other white supremacist "models" of the world) that predictions are always dogmatic (though the dogma can be modified in the light of further evidence).
Let's say you assert based on observation (counting) that the next card to be turned up will be a king with probability 0.3, a queen with probability 0.2, and the rest of the cards combined, probability 0.5.
What I was trying to explain to you was that is a shorthand version of saying "... I predict (with certainty)
that the value of a variable called the probability of a king being turned up equals 0.3, and the value of a corresponding variable for the queen being turned up equals 0.2, and the value of another corresponding variable for the rest of the cards being turned up equals 0.5.
I was trying to get across to you that you are not predicting events, but rather you are predicting certain
abstract entities called the probabilities of events, which can be variously interpreted, for example, in the present case, as an assertion that if you were to repeat the turning up of cards over and over say a few hundred times, 30% of the time the occurrence would be a king, and so on for the three events we outlined -
but there could be no other events.
Thus it follows that you do not make predictions about the real world,
which is unknowable in detail.
Rather you make predictions about some simplified
abstraction from the real world - of which you can become certain (the probability model is, of course, an abstraction of this kind).
And your computer-like approach to the world appears to be incapable of making this distinction.
I think that is why you put so much faith in these simplified abstractions of the real world, models as such, and take them literally.
It gives you certainty. A dumb machine-like certainty. A delusional certainty.
Whereas if you were able to acknowledge the world as it really is, you would need to adopt a strategy of living better able to handle it.
Now, I'm serious. You know what the best strategy discovered so far, is to best deal with the world as it really is?
Hint, it's the exact opposite to the strategy you semi literate chimps on the likes of arsefields or Stormfront adopt to deal with the world.
What is it, and why might it work in light of what I have just explained to you?
Mowl -
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