Let's kick it off.
insightnews.media
It's clear Russia desperately needs the war to end soon.
As it spends more and more on the war, its creating a bubble in the Russian economy, while spending money that could have been used, if the oligarchs ever allowed it, to dramatically increase the quality of life for millions of Russians.
Despite any battlefield reverses, Ukraine has already won. Once an isolated outlier in Europe, in a kind of no man's land between Europe and Russia before, its now firmly in the European umbrella and the West in general.
Russia has no good options now. The Ukrainian population will keep moving away from any Russian advances, so Russia can't hope to subvert Ukrainian people into its own diminishing population. There is no possible demographic gain. And the longer the war goes on, the weaker Russia gets, and the more dependent it gets on China.
The West could end the warbtomorrow but seem content to bleed Russia dry while avoiding overt Chinese intervention . Ukraine doesn't like this but knows its still better than Russian subjugation.
With the delayed American aid, Russia is really pushing hard to take advantage....but can still only capture villages.
The one Russian success has been Avdiivka. But looking at a map you realize that Avdiivka is basically a suburb to Donetsk and just ha half hour from the railway hub of Jasynuvata.
These cities have been under occupation by pro-russian forces since 2014.
So in two years, russia’s major breakthrough was less than 30 km from their front line, and a major logistics hub, which also happen to be the furtherst away for the Ukrainian forces resupply lines.
And Russia still lost, in casualties, an army corp to achieve it.
When Avdiivka fell pro-russian channels did a big number on Avdiivka, that the Ukrainian lines had fallen, and that thousands of the defenders had been captured (which turned out to be untrure). The 7 days to envelope Avdiivka never happened. There has (still) been no encirclment, no kessel, no cauldron.
And then… not that much has happened since. Russia have very slowly been moving forward, maybe a few kilometres, but they have not yet run into any real geographical obstacle. The major breakthrough has not come, and it looks more and more like the Russian forces did not have the reserves or trained forces available to end the war. And they are terrified of another attempt at mass mobilisation.
So to many of Ukraine’s allies it has become pretty obvious that the most publicized victory for Russia really did not have that much effect for them.
So now, there's really desperate measures to stop US aid through propaganda. But even seasoned Republican leaders can see they are being fed a lot of shit by Russia.
Putinbots forget a very salient point. Russia should have, needed to have, won by now. And everyone sees this.
While long drawn out wars are disastrous to the countries involved, Ukraine knows its fight to death or have their proud nation subjugated once again.
Russia went in by choice.
Russia has everything to lose.
Russia's information operation aims at forcing Ukraine to negotiate on Moscow's terms
Kremlin spokesperson Peskov, Defense Minister Shoigu, and Foreign Minister Lavrov have increased information operations, ISW analysts said.
insightnews.media
It's clear Russia desperately needs the war to end soon.
As it spends more and more on the war, its creating a bubble in the Russian economy, while spending money that could have been used, if the oligarchs ever allowed it, to dramatically increase the quality of life for millions of Russians.
Despite any battlefield reverses, Ukraine has already won. Once an isolated outlier in Europe, in a kind of no man's land between Europe and Russia before, its now firmly in the European umbrella and the West in general.
Russia has no good options now. The Ukrainian population will keep moving away from any Russian advances, so Russia can't hope to subvert Ukrainian people into its own diminishing population. There is no possible demographic gain. And the longer the war goes on, the weaker Russia gets, and the more dependent it gets on China.
The West could end the warbtomorrow but seem content to bleed Russia dry while avoiding overt Chinese intervention . Ukraine doesn't like this but knows its still better than Russian subjugation.
With the delayed American aid, Russia is really pushing hard to take advantage....but can still only capture villages.
The one Russian success has been Avdiivka. But looking at a map you realize that Avdiivka is basically a suburb to Donetsk and just ha half hour from the railway hub of Jasynuvata.
These cities have been under occupation by pro-russian forces since 2014.
So in two years, russia’s major breakthrough was less than 30 km from their front line, and a major logistics hub, which also happen to be the furtherst away for the Ukrainian forces resupply lines.
And Russia still lost, in casualties, an army corp to achieve it.
When Avdiivka fell pro-russian channels did a big number on Avdiivka, that the Ukrainian lines had fallen, and that thousands of the defenders had been captured (which turned out to be untrure). The 7 days to envelope Avdiivka never happened. There has (still) been no encirclment, no kessel, no cauldron.
And then… not that much has happened since. Russia have very slowly been moving forward, maybe a few kilometres, but they have not yet run into any real geographical obstacle. The major breakthrough has not come, and it looks more and more like the Russian forces did not have the reserves or trained forces available to end the war. And they are terrified of another attempt at mass mobilisation.
So to many of Ukraine’s allies it has become pretty obvious that the most publicized victory for Russia really did not have that much effect for them.
So now, there's really desperate measures to stop US aid through propaganda. But even seasoned Republican leaders can see they are being fed a lot of shit by Russia.
Putinbots forget a very salient point. Russia should have, needed to have, won by now. And everyone sees this.
While long drawn out wars are disastrous to the countries involved, Ukraine knows its fight to death or have their proud nation subjugated once again.
Russia went in by choice.
Russia has everything to lose.
